The GP described the "hype machine" and the implication that deep learning is step to AGI. As far as I can tell, the "hype machine" is real in sense that popular articles describe current methods as steps towards our broad concept of intelligence.
Certainly, someone close enough to the technical process of deep learning will admit that it essentially an extension of logistic regression without any "larger" implications - at least some deep learning researchers are always clear to distinguish the activity from "human intelligence" (and even if a given research never parrots the hype train's mantra, they know it's there and inherently play some part).
But more a minimum assertion of deep learning is that it "generalizes well". And what does "well" mean in this context? In the few situations where data can be generated by the process, like Alpha-Go, it can make a good average approximation of a function but in most situations of deep learning it means "generalizes like a human" - especially image recognition.
This comes together in the process of training AIs. Researchers take data that they hope represents a pattern of inputs and output in a human decision making process and assume they can construct a good approximation of a function that underlies this data. A variety of things can go wrong - the input data can be selective in ways the researchers don't understand (there was a discussion about a large database of images from the net being biased just by the tendency of photographers to center their main subject), there can be no unambiguous "function" - loan/parole AI that's inherently biased because it associated data that isn't legitimate, objective criteria for the decision sought), and so-forth. Some tech people are aware of the problems here to but this stuff is going out the door and being used in decisions affecting people's lives. Merely noting possible problems isn't enough here. These "exceedingly smart people" are still handing off their creations to other people are taking them as something akin to miraculous decision makers.
Certainly, someone close enough to the technical process of deep learning will admit that it essentially an extension of logistic regression without any "larger" implications - at least some deep learning researchers are always clear to distinguish the activity from "human intelligence" (and even if a given research never parrots the hype train's mantra, they know it's there and inherently play some part).
But more a minimum assertion of deep learning is that it "generalizes well". And what does "well" mean in this context? In the few situations where data can be generated by the process, like Alpha-Go, it can make a good average approximation of a function but in most situations of deep learning it means "generalizes like a human" - especially image recognition.
This comes together in the process of training AIs. Researchers take data that they hope represents a pattern of inputs and output in a human decision making process and assume they can construct a good approximation of a function that underlies this data. A variety of things can go wrong - the input data can be selective in ways the researchers don't understand (there was a discussion about a large database of images from the net being biased just by the tendency of photographers to center their main subject), there can be no unambiguous "function" - loan/parole AI that's inherently biased because it associated data that isn't legitimate, objective criteria for the decision sought), and so-forth. Some tech people are aware of the problems here to but this stuff is going out the door and being used in decisions affecting people's lives. Merely noting possible problems isn't enough here. These "exceedingly smart people" are still handing off their creations to other people are taking them as something akin to miraculous decision makers.